Computer Models

Splendid Christopher Booker in The Sunday Telegraph says the computer model predicting global warming also promised dry April-May-June. On March 26 the Met Office cheerfully calculated “slightly drier than average conditions for April-May-June”, with April the driest month. This, the Met Office assured us, was based on “observations, several numerical models and expert judgment”. What happened was more rain than at any time since records began in 1766, with the wettest April and June in 100 years.

Professor Julia Slingo, the Met Office’s chief scientist, confessed to MPs in 2010 that the “numerical models” used by the Met Office for short-term weather forecasts are exactly the same as those “we use for our climate prediction work”.  Yet it was the Met Office’s predictions of climate change that were taken as Gospel by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, setting set off the BBC and other global warmists towards bankrupting us all with wind farms and other crazy schemes. The Met Office’s £33 million super-computer that failed to predict the worst floods in more than a century is relied on by the IPCC for predicting what the weather will be like in 100 years’ time.

Computer models only do what people tell them. Ask Alice.